Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Immigration and Government Expenditures

    I was curious about some things said regarding immigration during class, specifically about immigration and government services, so I did a little research. One well-regarded, though somewhat dated, study was done by the National Academy of Sciences in 1997. The study, entitled The New Americans: Economic, Demographic, and Fiscal Effects of Immigration, found that most immigrants paid more in new taxes than they received in new government services in their lifetime. As the study brief points out, part of this is due to the fact that they receive protection from high fixed-cost services (national defense, roads, interest on national debt) without requiring additional expenditures on those items. In effect, they pull down the average cost per citizen of providing those services. A piece by the Cato Institute further expands on immigration and this study, saying that the study shows the average immigrant family pays $80,000 more in government services than it receives in a lifetime. Even better, those immigrants with college degrees (likely those who benefit from the H1-B visas) constitute a net gain in revenue of $198,000 (Cato, p. 3). Keep in mind that not only are immigrants making our fiscal situation better, but also we are giving them a much better opportunity to make a decent living, an effect that many would argue would be worth paying for.

    Two other thoughts struck me as I was doing this research. First, if we amended our immigration policies to allow anyone who wants to come here, the net benefit of the average immigrant would probably decrease. At present, we are probably keeping out many low-skilled workers who want to come here. Thus, while the current 'typical' immigrant represents a net gain of $80,000, much of that is inflated by our current policy which allows high-skilled workers yet it more restrictive of low-skilled. That said, there is still a lot of play in that area. Even if a new immigrant was neutral financially or even a small loss, the gain he represents for economic growth is not negative, nor is the benefit conferred by giving him more opportunities. The second thought was that by drastically reducing border patrol along the U.S.-Mexico border, we could save $3 billion, or at least a significant portion of that, each year (Cato, p. 12). Thus, even if we somehow allowed enough low-skilled immigrants to enter that the net benefit was negative, we could pay for part of that with these reduced expenditures.

    Finally, in a somewhat unrelated thought, I was wondering how Carens' argument, especially regarding Rawls or utilitarianism, would apply to protectionist policies. Wouldn't Rawls, under the 'veil of ignorance,' say we should buy the most efficiently produced item, regardless of unimportant contingencies such as nationality? And in this same vein of thought, are attacks on outsourced labor wrong? This is just a brief thought, and I don't have time to expand on it, but I was wondering if anyone had any thoughts.

Feel free to post any thoughts on whether these immigration statistics affected your thinking, or if you had any thoughts on Carens, Rawls, and outsourcing.

1 comment:

  1. If anyone wants more information on immigration, the New York Times has a piece about President Obama's hope for immigration reform, combined with current political realities (Link: http://nyti.ms/dorTOv). Essentially, immigration reform would contain four main parts: a path to citizenship for current illegals (11+ million), a national ID card for all workers (there goes Ron Paul's vote), improved border enforcement, and a guest worker program.

    It's interesting to see the political battles in this issue. First, Sen Lindsey Graham may kill this thing before it starts if the Dems use reconciliation to pass health care reform. Additionally, there will be a fight between the Democratic caucus as some will be concerned more with human rights issues and allowing more opportunities to those in other countries, while the labor movement will work to help its members by limiting the guest worker program.

    Finally, for what it's worth, Jon Chait and Matt Yglesias went back and forth today about immigration strategies. It's probably worthwhile to read thoughts about immigration from the left side of the blogosphere as an immigration bill debate during this administration will probably discuss similar issues.

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